Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000595 0.000684 0.000780 0.000889 0.001010 0.001139 0.001287
2025-06-01 0.000442 0.000562 0.000700 0.000868 0.001066 0.001290 0.001560
2025-06-08 0.000354 0.000484 0.000640 0.000839 0.001083 0.001370 0.001728
2025-06-15 0.000300 0.000437 0.000609 0.000837 0.001127 0.001477 0.001927
2025-06-22 0.000258 0.000399 0.000583 0.000835 0.001165 0.001575 0.002113
2025-06-29 0.000222 0.000362 0.000553 0.000825 0.001189 0.001652 0.002272
2025-07-06 0.000189 0.000327 0.000523 0.000808 0.001202 0.001713 0.002411
2025-07-13 0.000173 0.000314 0.000519 0.000827 0.001261 0.001834 0.002629
2025-07-20 0.000157 0.000298 0.000512 0.000839 0.001310 0.001943 0.002832
2025-07-27 0.000138 0.000276 0.000491 0.000830 0.001328 0.002008 0.002978
2025-08-03 0.000120 0.000253 0.000467 0.000815 0.001335 0.002058 0.003103
2025-08-10 0.000109 0.000241 0.000461 0.000824 0.001378 0.002158 0.003298
2025-08-17 0.000098 0.000228 0.000450 0.000826 0.001411 0.002244 0.003478
2025-08-24 0.000083 0.000205 0.000422 0.000800 0.001398 0.002267 0.003569
2025-08-31 0.000070 0.000185 0.000396 0.000774 0.001387 0.002288 0.003658
2025-09-07 0.000062 0.000173 0.000385 0.000772 0.001409 0.002360 0.003820
2025-09-14 0.000056 0.000163 0.000375 0.000770 0.001433 0.002433 0.003984
2025-09-21 0.000049 0.000151 0.000360 0.000760 0.001442 0.002484 0.004117
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000139 0.000343 0.000745 0.001441 0.002520 0.004227
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000136 0.000345 0.000763 0.001495 0.002641 0.004465
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000131 0.000344 0.000774 0.001539 0.002746 0.004683
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000122 0.000332 0.000766 0.001549 0.002798 0.004820
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000113 0.000317 0.000751 0.001547 0.002832 0.004929